Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1.869209 2.126925 2.409960 2.744307 3.129048 3.558574 4.075376
2025-11-23 1.489862 1.828923 2.232634 2.750532 3.399852 4.190343 5.230718
2025-11-30 1.300264 1.699307 2.207372 2.905828 3.847556 5.082361 6.839060
2025-12-07 1.133751 1.561353 2.137315 2.976971 4.181758 5.866082 8.430836
2025-12-14 0.979397 1.410131 2.018844 2.952166 4.365507 6.455160 9.833609
2025-12-21 0.840406 1.257382 1.871678 2.855943 4.418674 6.846476 10.987098
2025-12-28 0.781463 1.212616 1.873467 2.977960 4.813502 7.805540 13.182389
2026-01-04 0.728045 1.167879 1.866882 3.081338 5.186632 8.775270 15.548088
2026-01-11 0.674903 1.115957 1.840510 3.145100 5.496708 9.675471 17.932575
2026-01-18 0.625587 1.063819 1.806186 3.188051 5.771720 10.546198 20.399914
2026-01-25 0.565874 0.986672 1.719377 3.124674 5.840420 11.040636 22.208181
2026-02-01 0.503596 0.898071 1.602167 2.989642 5.752653 11.217866 23.390493
2026-02-08 0.460940 0.842118 1.540868 2.958684 5.875622 11.853073 25.709785
2026-02-15 0.420361 0.785836 1.473038 2.907002 5.950964 12.405365 27.959924
2026-02-22 0.406320 0.778575 1.497933 3.045119 6.442979 13.921227 32.727508
2026-03-01 0.385089 0.754811 1.487488 3.108019 6.781031 15.150612 37.056707
2026-03-08 0.356544 0.713265 1.436411 3.076884 6.903273 15.903313 40.339953
2026-03-15 0.324360 0.660942 1.357415 2.974115 6.844853 16.217122 42.537306
2026-03-22 0.315309 0.656248 1.378618 3.100584 7.350219 17.993552 49.087645
2026-03-29 0.305125 0.648001 1.391073 3.208101 7.825101 19.772538 56.043259
2026-04-05 0.292438 0.632921 1.386634 3.274488 8.205738 21.368722 62.823324
2026-04-12 0.279145 0.615128 1.374082 3.319253 8.536702 22.886689 69.715397
2026-04-19 0.259548 0.581009 1.320123 3.253031 8.559991 23.547243 74.024217